Has there been any statistical impact from the shutdown of the vice squads back in 2014-2015? 2014 there were 105 murders and it's been a pretty upward trajectory since then.
I'd have to extend the dataset back to those years (unfortunately I don't think MPD staffing info is available monthly that far back). It's possible that it had an impact in 2014-15 and subsequent years but the more recent 2020-2022 increase is probably due to more recent factors. But that's just based my read of the overall trend, not a statistical analysis*
For what it’s worth, I think temperature is really an attempt to measure “more people out and about, interacting”
Has there been any statistical impact from the shutdown of the vice squads back in 2014-2015? 2014 there were 105 murders and it's been a pretty upward trajectory since then.
I'd have to extend the dataset back to those years (unfortunately I don't think MPD staffing info is available monthly that far back). It's possible that it had an impact in 2014-15 and subsequent years but the more recent 2020-2022 increase is probably due to more recent factors. But that's just based my read of the overall trend, not a statistical analysis*
https://mpdc.dc.gov/page/homicide-closure-rates